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Months ahead of 2018 midterm elections, fear ran rampant of a changing of the guard.
History specifically told us things could get bumpy.
Ahead of the midterm elections in 1990, the Volatility Index (VIX) jumped from 16 to 36
Ahead of the midterm elections in 1994, the VIX jumped from 11 to 18
Ahead of the midterm elections in 1998, the VIX jumped from 16 to 45
Ahead of the midterm elections in 2006 and 2010, the VIX fell
Ahead of the midterm elections in 2014, the VIX jumped from 12 to 40
So, on September 24, 2018, we highlighted the following opportunities.
Velocity Shares Daily 2x VIX Short-Term ETN (TVIX), which traded at $26.25
iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (VXX), which traded at $26.85
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (UVXY), which traded at $37.22
Weeks ahead of the 2018 midterm elections, each skyrocketed, as history said they would.
As of late October 2018, the TVIX traded at $43.30. The VXX traded at $35.14. And, the UVXY traded at $54.70. Easy wins just by paying close attention to mid-term history.
Lee Gettess is a top trader who is excited to bring you his video newsletter. Each week, Lee will share his predictions on what he anticipates from the bond and S&P markets.
Options are often used as a way to hedge against losses on the equity shares that an investor owns. If the overall market is going through a correction period and is heading down or if the equity has received some bad news and looks like it will pullback for a short period of time, the investor often would like to purchase a put option as protection.
A put option increases in value as the equity price drops. This way as the price of the equity drops, the price of the put increases and offsets a portion of the equity’s loss.
Until Mini-Options came along, if an investor owns 30 shares of Apple, Inc.’s (AAPL) stock, he had to purchase a put contract that covered 100 shares of Apple’s stock. This tied up 3+ times the money actually needed to protect the shares he owned, but also increased the risk more than 3 times if the put option was to be exercised at expiration.
Covered Calls
Another technique that investors use as an income source is to sell options against the stocks they own. If an investor owns 55 shares of Amazon (AMZN), and wants to earn a monthly income from those shares, he might sell a call option against them and the premium for that option would be added to his account.
S&P E-Mini Futures Weekly: The long-term trend is up. The long-term target is 3000 or higher. The bears are in charge right now. The key hurdle for the bears is seen at 2537.75.
DIA Weekly: The long-term trend is up. The long-term targets are 275 and 300. The bears have the momentum. The key hurdle for the bears is seen at 233.20.
SPY Weekly: The long-term trend is up. The bears have the momentum. The key hurdle for the bears is seen at 252.92. The bulls need a solid sign of a bottom to turn the momentum back up. A close over this year’s high would reaffirm the long-term bull trend.
PLEASE READ: Auto-trading, or any broker or advisor-directed type of trading, is not supported or endorsed by TradeWins. For additional information on auto-trading, you may visit the SEC’s website: All About Auto-Trading, TradeWins does not recommend or refer subscribers to broker-dealers. You should perform your own due diligence with respect to satisfactory broker-dealers and whether to open a brokerage account. You should always consult with your own professional advisers regarding equities and options on equities trading.
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