September 13, 2017
Inside Trading
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Steve Swanson




Fascinated with the newly invented digital music CD, Steve created his own hardware and software to digitize sound and project the sound waves on his computer screen… creating a computerized digital oscilloscope.

Eventually his work ended up in the hands of the director for a School for the Deaf in Utah… which ultimately led to SpeechMaster, heralded as a breakthrough technology in modern medicine on national TV news and sold to hospitals, clinics and schools worldwide— international companies even bought it for accent reduction.

A group of big-time option traders, who manually calculated market cycles based on the teachings of J. M. Hurst, approached Steve to see if his SpeechMaster code could be converted to analyze market data… and it did. Thus, Market Turning Point was born.


"If You’re Like Most People And You Think the Stock Market’s Unpredictable…

Give Me Just 2 Minutes of Your Time… I’ll Prove You Wrong and Possibly Make You Very Rich!"




Over the past 5 years I’ve called a total of 38 intermediate market bottoms… and an equal number of market tops…

And, if you did nothing more than simply buy the S&P 500 3x ETF every time I announced a market bottom… and then taken profits when I announced the top…

You could have grown a modest $5,000 account into an exciting $741,941.44 fortune… including commissions!

My name’s Steve Swanson. And, I’m about to turn your perception of the financial world upside-down… in a very good and extremely profitable way.

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One of the most common questions that analysts receive these days is, “who are the potential winners from the Hurricanes?”

Unfortunately, there are no real winners.

There’s a good deal of destruction, loss of life, and property damage.

I have dear friends in Texas and in Florida, as I’m sure many of you do, too. So, I try to answer the question as briefly as I can, and move on. At the same time, I donate funds to relief efforts, and have plans to help rebuild.

But to answer the question… yes there are trading opportunities in one of Mother Nature's tragedies.

Then, Lee Gettess sheds some light on what he expects from the market in his video newsletter Lee Gettess’ Market Sense.

Then, Steve Swanson explains how interest rates and unemployment affect the stock market.

Last, Andy Chambers wraps up with his Weekly Market Line in the Sand Newsletter.

Enjoy!

Adrienne LaVigne
TradeWins Publishing



 

The Storm Premium: How to Trade the End of Irma

by TradeWins Publishing

One of the most common questions that analysts receive these days is, “who are the potential winners from the Hurricanes?”

Unfortunately, there are no real winners.

There’s a good deal of destruction, loss of life, and property damage. I have dear friends in Texas and in Florida, as I’m sure many of you do, too.

So, I try to answer the question as briefly as I can, and move on.

At the same time, I donate funds to relief efforts, and have plans to help rebuild.

In August 2017, a Category 4 hurricane slammed into Texas, dropping 11 trillion gallons of water on the state, triggering catastrophic, unprecedented flooding. Greedy gas station owners reportedly upped their prices to more than $8 a gallon.

Water was being sold for more than $25 for a pack.

Insurance stocks like Allstate Corporation (ALL) slipped well under their 50-day moving averages, but are beginning to find support following the storm. In fact, options traders were racing to buy oversold October 2017 90 calls not long after.

Some of the stocks that ran higher following the storm were oil refiners., such as Marathon (MPC) and Holly Frontier (HFC). Many were expected to rise on wider crude differentials and stronger crack spreads as Wall Street became bullish on refiners. That’s because disruption leads to stronger profit margins for refiners that can fill the gap.

Then, days later, Irma formed in the Atlantic Ocean – a 400-mile wide, 185mph beast with wind gusts of more than 220mph. It’s not something to screw around with. The likelihood of further damage, storm surge, big winds, and tornado activity is very high as the eye wall reached shore.

As a result, home stocks like Lowe’s Companies (LOW) ticked higher on aggressive demand. In fact, LOW ran from $71 to $77.50 as Harvey and Irma raged. Home Depot (HD) exploded from a low of $146 to $156.56 in days, too.

The Storm Premium

 
 

Lee Gettess' Market Sense

by Lee Gettess

Lee Gettess is a top trader who is excited to bring you his video newsletter. Each week, Lee will share his predictions on what he anticipates from the bond and S&P markets.


Watch Video

 

The Influence of Interest Rates and Unemployment

by Steve Swanson

The following is an excerpt from Steve Swanson's Market Turning Point Trading

The Federal Reserve’s job is to keep money flowing in the economy, and to keep inflation under control. But as you’ll see in the up-coming chart, the Fed is usually a little late to the party when making adjustments to the rates.

What comes as a surprise to a lot of people is that one of the biggest inflators in the economy is when there is too much employment. Too many people working causes inflation because with higher earnings comes a higher demand for products, and that demand always leads to higher prices.

That’s why employment numbers are important to watch.

We’ve heard the Fed talk about the 6% target frequently enough over the past few years that we ought to believe it. That is the Fed’s target number for unemployment and what they consider the sweet spot where economic factors are in balance.

When employment figures fall below six percent, employers begin to create incentives which can include bonuses, stock options, and higher pay, to attract the best and brightest employees in their industry. But once more, like a game of dominos, the increased job competition leads to excessive salary inflation.

Inflation becomes a pass-through-cost to the consumer as it pushes prices upward in every industry: higher salaries affect raw commodities prices, manufacturing, transportation, and ultimately finished goods costs. Once established, inflationary pressures can be relentless.

Interest Rates and Unemployment

 
 

Weekly Market Line in the Sand

by Andy Chambers

The following is an excerpt from Andy Chambers' Weekly Market Line in the Sand

Every week Andy publishes his “Weekly Market Line in the Sand” newsletter. The following are trade updates from his most recent issue.

Stock Watch: Our bias is to the downside for the next few months. That opinion is primarily based on seasonality. That is, the market often corrects at this time of year. That doesn’t mean the market won’t go higher first. It means we expect it to wind up lower before the first of the year. For now, the trend is still up. There are no new orders and no new fills.

Mini DOW Futures Weekly: A higher low bottom appears to be in place at last month’s low. The next target is 22,500. A weekly close below 21,579 could result in a pause or a pullback.

DIA Weekly: A higher low bottom appears to be in place at last month’s low. The next target is 225. A weekly close below 215.73 could result in a pause or a pullback. On 8/13 we said: We want to buy the DIA January 19, 2018 220 Put at the market. 8/14 - Bought to Open at 7.55.

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PLEASE READ. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. There is a substantial risk of loss trading commodities, stocks, bonds and options with or without this or any other advertised product, service or system. Also hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.