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Over the last days, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a half-point in a move that should bring some financial relief to households and businesses, including solar.
With the benchmark rate now between 4.75% and 5%, the central bank is attempting to ease pressure on the economy and help keep the job market from slowing down even more.
In addition, as noted by BankRate.com, “The Fed has two remaining meetings this year: in November and December. Taken together with Powell’s comments, the projections assume a quarter-point cut at both meetings, rather than a larger half-point cut at one of those gatherings. In 2025, Fed officials expect another full percentage point of cuts.”
All of which should positively impact solar stocks, such as:
First Solar (FSLR)
Since finding support at $202.15, First Solar (FSLR) raced to a recent high of $261. From here, we’d like to see it initially retest $280. Fueling further upside, analysts at Truist just initiated a buy rating on FSLR with a $300 price target, noting the company’s “"differentiated technology, continued investment in R&D, and sizable contracted backlog further securing [its] competitive moat both for current and future module technology iterations,” as quoted by Seeking Alpha.
Let’s discuss the use of options with trendlines. You will be determining the option type to use for the specified trendline or chart pattern, the buy point and an explanation of what to expect from each chart pattern.
The first example is an ascending triangle, shown on the chart below, which is considered to be a bullish pattern. This formation is formed by a horizontal resistance line and an upward trending support line. To play this pattern with an option you would expect the stock to go up in price. First, since the pattern is considered to be bullish, you need to determine the option that you will play. To determine the option, you will need a buy point. Now on this particular chart the buy point would be as the stock crosses the resistance line, which is at 130. To give the stock some room, my buy point would be 131 to 132.
Now that we have a buy point, we can determine the option strike price and the option expiration. You will note that the stock price crosses the resistance line on March 9th.
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The first profit opportunity we will review is in CDNA, or CareDx, Inc. CDNA is a commercial stage company. It develops, markets, and delivers a diagnostic surveillance solutions for heart transplant recipients.
If the monthly chart shows CDNA triggered the current buy signal when it closed above the monthly moving average line in May. The next targets are 35 and 40.
The daily chart shows that CDNA was very bullish from the April low until the August high. The current pause is expected to be followed by a further advance.
We recommend buying CDNA stock at the current price level.
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