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In just a few weeks, hurricane season will be here.
And it’s expected to be an overreactive one.
Colorado State University just forecast 17 storms, including nine hurricanes and four major hurricanes. That’s slightly above average. We’ll get notes from The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in late May.
That being said, it’s time to jump back into seasonal stocks that typically run – especially when we have projected landfalls.
Some of the top stocks you may want to jump into, include:
Generac Holdings (GNRC)
GNRC is an $6.85 billion leader in power generation equipment and other light-motor equipment for residential and industrial customers.
It markets home standby generators and the leading global manufacturer of mobile generators for industrial use. Beyond the physical damage to homes and businesses, one of the biggest inconveniences of a powerful storm is electrical outages. Better, the stock has a long history of pushing higher, as hurricane season heats up.
Even better, as we near hurricane season, GNRC is severely oversold.
From its last traded price of $115.47, we’d like to see it closer to $200.
Let’s say that you wanted to divide your $200,000 investment portfolio into two portions. First, let’s invest $180,000 in Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) stocks to take advantage of the index basket concept without having to worry about selecting individual stocks. Then put the remaining $20,000 into S&P 500 Index futures. Using round numbers for our illustration, let’s say the S&P Index went from about 760 at the start of the year to 830 at the peak of Feb 19. Then it sank to 745 on April 14 before surging back up to the 900 level by the end of June. In each case, the percentage return was a point or two below the DJIA, as the blue chips attracted much of the investors’ attention during this time.
Applying the percentage changes in S&P Index points to the $20,000 invested in futures, you’ll see some of the biggest positives and negatives of futures. At the first peak, the futures account nearly tripled to $55,000. Then when the market fell 10%, the account dropped to $12,500, a decline of 37.5% from the beginning of the year, a rather discouraging outlook at that point. But from that low, the account multiplied more than six-fold by the end of June – a 287.5% gain for the futures portion of the portfolio.
Moving just 10 percent - $20,000 – of the portfolio into S&P Index futures helped the portfolio gain nearly $95,000 in six months, it rocketed overall returns from 20.7% to 47.4%! That’s more than double the dollar amount from the portfolio that contained only DJIA stocks!
This is one example of how the power of leverage from just 10% of your portfolio can make a substantial difference in your total portfolio returns. Who wouldn’t like to have those results?!
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