TradeWins Inside Trading Newsletter

May 11, 2022

5 Days, 36 Professionals, 36 Hours of Tips and Strategies for Active Traders

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How to Tell When Fear May be Ready to Subside by Ian Cooper

Fundamentals Rule, But... by Darrell Jobman

Top That Trade Weekly Update by Alan Knuckman

TradeWins Author Team

Tomorrow, you could begin doubling your account every single month starting with one letter.

The letter will come from a 20-year trading professional named Ian Cooper. He says, “In 2022, following my trades you would be doubling even tripling your account some months. Let me show you how.”

He will show you exactly what to do... and he’ll give you the blueprint for just $1.

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How to Tell When Fear May be Ready to Subside
by Ian Cooper

With 80% accuracy, we can predict reversals after major spikes in volatility.

In fact, we can do so just by paying close attention to relative strength (RSI), Bollinger Bands, Full Stochastics, and Williams’ %R, which helps us spot excessive fear in the market.

For example, here’s a two-year chart of the VIX with those very technical indicators.

For one, when the VIX challenges or penetrates its upper Bollinger Band, it’s considered overbought, and begins to pivot lower shortly after.

Two, we can confirm the VIX is overbought with RSI at or above its 70-line. Three, we can confirm it’s overbought again with Full STO at or near its 80-line. Four, we can confirm further with W%R at or above its 20-line.

When these four indicators agree in overbought territory, about 80% of the time, the VIX will often pivot lower. When that happens, we’ll typically see a rebound in the Dow too, which we can profit from using a DIA call for example.

Fundamentals Rule, But...
by Darrell Jobman

I’m a diehard technical analyst, but I know that “technicals” do not move the market. Traders may use various technicals to describe or measure or predict price movement in a market, but these technicals are not the underlying root cause for changes in price. The root cause – is just good plain old-fashioned supply and demand. And supply and demand is the basic factor underlying the fundamental approach.

A little review of basic economics will explain the dynamics of price changes. Look at the supply/demand diagram provided below. The supply curve is the arrow that is sloping up and to the right, while the demand curve is the arrow that is sloping down and to the left. The point where they intersect is the fair market price where both buyers and sellers are willing to agree on value. All you have to remember for now is that when either the supply line or the demand line moves, the intersection point, and therefore the price, will change.

Top That Trade Weekly Update
by Alan Knuckman

Oil, beef & best!

1. Oil Up! What is the best Oil to slide into for long term bull run? Alan says the world needs oil...not just energy products but grain oils, soy/corn/palm/sunflower/canola oils are critical commodities. Demand for any kind of Oil has been amazing with SoyBean Oil prices hitting forever highs. Phil talks about the commodities super cycle that was caused by underinvestment that is now coming to reality. Energy still looks strong with OXY a mention.

2. Hot BBQ: BBQ season is HERE... is beef still BOOMING? Phil says steak is strong with Chicken and Pork now cheaper alternatives with demand. Tyson is a protein play for BBQ. LIve Cattle has had a boost BUT not yet back to highs so more upside exists as you have to feed high priced grains. The strong feed commodities make meat prices hold.

3. Best, Worst & Next: Traders share their best trade, worst trade and next trade that they hope will be the best of the year! Alan's best trade was in Gamestop options to teach a high volatility strategy. Best percentage return of the year but only did 1 contract in a trading class. Phil's best trades were long Oil forever, long long on energy plays with worst pick in Cotton.

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