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With millions of students heading back to school in just weeks, it’s time to pick up bargain retail stocks, including Target (TGT).
For one, consumers are expected to spend up to $41.5 billion for back to school gear, which should pass the $37.1 billion spent in 2021. Back to school college spending could hit $94 billion, about $20 billion more than last year, according to the National Retail Federation.
"Back-to-class shopping is one of the most important consumer shopping occasions of the year. Our research for 2023 shows American consumers are eager to jump start their back-to-school and college purchases early," NRF President and CEO Matthew Shay said in a press release on the survey. "Retailers have been preparing for months to ensure they are well stocked with essential items that families and students need for the school year."
One of the top retailers that should benefit is Target (TGT).
Around July-August 2020, the stock exploded from about $120 to $187. Then, starting in June 2021, TGT ran from about $219 to $255. In 2022, around the same time, TGT ran from about $135 to $180. This year, after the stock gapped lower, we expect to see a similar move.
Plus, as we wait for TGT to recover, we can collect its current yield of 3.21%. Even better, the company is showing signs of life again. And once it gets beyond its inventory issues, the company and its stock could come back strong with back to school season already here, and with holiday shopping season creeping up on us already.
Or, keep an eye on Walmart (WMT).
With a yield of 1.45%, stock could see further upside. Not only could it benefit from the back to school rally, it could push higher as it gains traction with groceries, as noted by Piper Sandler. The firm also upgraded WMT to overweight from neutral with a price target of $210. WMT also has a strong history of running higher around July-August, as well.
2. Start with a weekly chart and locate the nearest support and resistance areas.
3. If a market is near the recent highs, be sure to note where the nearest support is just below the current price. Remember, support is defined as a recent peak that is below the current price.
4. If a market is near the recent lows, look for a resistance area (or a dip in the price) just above the current price.
5. Support and resistance areas act as 'magnets'. If a market has made a recent price peak and begins to pull back, many traders will wait for the price to pull back to a recent high to re-enter the market.
6. Add trend lines to the weekly chart. Trend lines do a great job in helping to identify the current trend of a market. When drawing trend lines, look for both upward as well as downward sloping lines.
7. Consider adding an oscillator such as the RSI to the weekly chart. Pay special attention to readings in the RSI that are above 70 or below 30.
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